We've also estimated the top of the backswing using a simple metric. For each frame, we consider the best single hypothesis for the club position. We then look for places where the 2nd derivative between 2 frames is 0, and choose these frames as possiblilities for the transition from upswing to backswing. We then use a weighting scale to assign each of these possibilities a score, based on distance from the middle of the sequence and the number of surrounding LO hypotheses. We then choose the frame with the lowest score.
The changes to Hough thresholding and detection of the transition work pretty well on the following video.
Upswing:

Downswing:

The hypotheses for the clubhead (marked by white circles) are fairly accurate, so we should be able to get a good polynomial approximation using least squares and RANSAC.
We also need to develop a library of test videos, with different conditions, so that we can be confident that the refinements we are making are robust.
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